As I write this post, Lebanese leaders start their discussions at Baabda Palace in the second session of this round of Lebanese National Dialogue. This round started earlier this month with more than a year of stoppage. Subject of today? Hezbollah’s arms!
Looking at the format of the meeting and the faces of the 17 participants or whatever the number is, I laugh out loudly (that’s LOL!). So Agob Pakradounian, Jean Ogasapian, Farid Makari and others are going to be the people to convince Hezbollah to give up his arms?
The only good that can be said about this national dialogue is a useful waste of time. Yes, the only potential good outcome is possibly the reduction of sectarian tensions in the streets of Lebanon; apart from that, a complete waste of space.
March 14 participates on the basis that Hezbollah doesn’t want to give up its arms, so they go to convince them (LOL again). The reality is, Hezbollah cannot give up its arms, because it doesn’t own the decision to disarm itself. Period. We know it; Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah told us it’s a divine thing, and Nabih Berri told us where to go to solve the issue.
Disarming Hezbollah is a good nation-building cause that has been lost in the dirty sectarian politics. The local and whole regional scenes now look a jigsaw of a Sunni-Shiite battle of influence. Sadly, we now have to take this battle into consideration in anything we do. Even the non-conventionalists within the Iranian foreign policy bodies see it in this way.
So if the Lebanese leaders insist on using their time properly, they need to ditch that national dialogue table, hire a double Decker bus, sit Hassan Nasrallah and Saad Hariri at the top while the rest downstairs waiting to be called when needed, and let them talk.
Even better, the negotiations need to be near the centres of the decision i.e. near Iran and Saudi Arabia. So the bus needs to drive there, may be to a middle spot…the Arabian Gulf.